Patrick L Norman
CrossCountry Mortgage · NMLS #303097
Prepared 23 August 2026 for Daniel Jacobs

The concession case, led by one verified deal

Priced off the sheet dated 21 August 2026. This version leads with the single loan on this list that needs no leap of faith, then the ladder that does not depend on the rest being exactly right, then the pipeline of loans still pending independent verification.

1. The worked example

Michael Andrew Mitchell and Alexandra Yasmine Mitchell, Virginia Beach VA 23454

Balance $436,692. Current rate 7.625%, rendered to the eighth rather than rounded to 7.63%, because it sits exactly on the eighth-point grid, it is county-sourced, and the independent model estimate agrees with it to the hundredth of a point. Three separate reasons to trust one number.

Lender Union Home Mortgage Corp, originated 22 July 2024. No junior liens, so no subordination question. The funding fee was financed on the original purchase, so this prices on the standard column with no reliance on any exemption inference: a $423,530 original VA loan against a $410,000 purchase price.

New rateDropFee financed Monthly savingBreak-evenShortage LO comp
6.875%, no-cost structure 0.755% $2,183 $209 10.4 mo $3,771 $4,367

This is the example because it is the single borrower on the priced list whose rate is county-sourced, on the eighth grid, corroborated by the independent estimate, and free of any junior lien. It is what the ask looks like when nothing has to be taken on trust.

2. The concession ladder

All four concession caps, so the point past which this stops paying for itself is on the page rather than left off it.

Cap, points of loan amountWritableVolume LO compShortageShortage, bps of volume Need full capExtra loansCost per extra loan
0.50 current authority 251 $103.0M $1,029,774 $455,693 44.3 bps 28 n/a n/a
0.75 523 $217.1M $2,171,218 $1,509,959 69.5 bps 111 272 $3,876
1.00 ask 824 $319.6M $3,195,808 $2,945,090 92.2 bps 147 301 $4,768
1.25 1,093 $412.5M $4,124,792 $4,670,367 113.2 bps 134 269 $6,414

Shortage is the cost of the concession itself, at that cap, for the whole writable book. "Need full cap" is loans that require the maximum rate at that cap to clear. "Extra loans" and "cost per extra loan" are the loans and per-loan cost added by moving up from the prior row.

Under the stress test, applying the band-specific overstatement to every model-estimate row and not just the no-brainers, the writable book at the 1.00 cap falls from 824 loans to 483, and volume falls from $319.6M to $188.7M. That is a real drop, and this page is not going to soften it: the expanded book is concentrated in the 7.00-7.24 and 6.875-6.99 bands, where a tenth of a point decides whether a deal exists at all, so the writable count falls 41% under stress.

The point that survives is the stronger one. Even fully stressed, 483 writable loans carrying $188.7M and $1,886,573 of LO comp is a materially bigger book than the 138 loans this ask was originally built on. And the shortage holds steady either way, 92.2 bps of volume at face value versus 91.4 bps under full stress. The case does not rest on the estimates being right. It rests on the shortage ratio, which is stable under stress even though the loan count is not.

3. The pipeline

77 loans price as no-brainers today, $34.4M in volume, $344,239 in expected LO comp against $320,319 in shortage. Of those, 1 loan, the Mitchell loan above, is already verified. The other 76 rest on a model estimate and are pending independent verification.

A Homebot bulk import has been submitted for this list and will return an independent rate on every one of these loans. No borrower on this list is being called until that verification lands.

Why the caution: under the band-specific overstatement measured on same-lien pairs, model estimates run high by +0.510 points at 7.50% and above, +0.110 points at 7.00% to 7.49%, and +0.086 points at 6.50% to 6.99%. Applied to this list, that correction takes it from 77 no-brainers to 17, volume from $34.4M to $6.6M, and average monthly saving from $261 to $182. The pipeline is the part of this page most sensitive to rate accuracy, and that sensitivity is exactly why nobody on this list is being called until the Homebot import returns an independent rate. The ladder in section 2 is far less sensitive to this same correction, which is why it carries the argument and this list does not, yet.

Shown below: the top 25 of 77 loans by monthly saving. The full set totals $34.4M in volume, $344,239 in comp, and $320,319 in shortage; the 52 rows not shown by name are included in every one of those totals.

BorrowerLocationBalance Current rateNew rateDrop Monthly savingBreak-evenShortage Comp
Jaramillo Saenz; Francisco Rodriguez Zapata Virginia Beach, VA $686,371 7.760% 6.575% 1.185% $550 immediate $6,759 $6,864
Sandeep Naroo Clarksville, TN $690,029 7.760% 6.575% 1.185% $531 6.5 mo $6,774 $6,900
Michael J Wiles; Lydia Wiles Chesapeake, VA $652,856 7.790% 6.625% 1.165% $494 6.6 mo $6,050 $6,529
Guadalupe Teat; John David Teat Colorado Springs, CO $637,826 7.760% 6.625% 1.135% $490 immediate $5,998 $6,378
Gregory William Sc Boulet; Amanda Nicole Boulet Colorado Springs, CO $713,094 7.630% 6.575% 1.055% $485 7.4 mo $6,874 $7,131
Janice Cosca; Matthew Cosca Virginia Beach, VA $628,222 7.760% 6.625% 1.135% $462 6.8 mo $5,964 $6,282
Charles Roderick Henderlite; Agnes Henderlite Colorado Springs, CO $763,920 7.500% 6.575% 0.925% $451 8.5 mo $7,100 $7,639
Pamela Miller Colorado Springs, CO $600,832 7.760% 6.625% 1.135% $442 6.8 mo $5,865 $6,008
Karen Sue Withers Peyton, CO $626,888 7.630% 6.625% 1.005% $405 7.7 mo $5,959 $6,269
Ehibor F Adoghe; Emmanuella E Adoghe Chesapeake, VA $547,386 7.760% 6.688% 1.072% $380 7.2 mo $5,094 $5,474
Kevin Henry Danis; Rebecca A Danis Peyton, CO $510,750 7.790% 6.688% 1.102% $365 7.0 mo $5,007 $5,108
Benito E Davila; Lisa G Davila Peyton, CO $506,824 7.760% 6.688% 1.072% $352 7.2 mo $4,997 $5,068
Donald Decoy; Raquel Decoy Peyton, CO $498,392 7.760% 6.688% 1.072% $346 7.2 mo $4,977 $4,984
Nicholas J Dion; Sunmi H Dion Colorado Springs, CO $565,748 7.630% 6.688% 0.942% $342 8.3 mo $5,139 $5,657
Keith Hiatt Clarksville, TN $488,381 7.760% 6.750% 1.010% $335 immediate $4,450 $4,884
Raymond Bourne Peyton, CO $482,859 7.790% 6.750% 1.040% $325 7.4 mo $4,444 $4,829
Patrick Mccullough; Miriam Mccullough Peyton, CO $535,827 7.630% 6.688% 0.942% $324 8.3 mo $5,068 $5,358
John Tson; Laura S Stanson Colorado Springs, CO $494,486 7.760% 6.750% 1.010% $323 7.7 mo $4,455 $4,945
Devin Modert; Brittany Modert Colorado Springs, CO $492,277 7.760% 6.750% 1.010% $321 7.7 mo $4,453 $4,923
John Vazolte Virginia Beach, VA $488,381 7.760% 6.750% 1.010% $319 7.7 mo $4,450 $4,884
Herbert Lavon Young Colorado Springs, CO $579,686 7.490% 6.625% 0.865% $319 9.1 mo $5,793 $5,797
Kody D Presswood; Savannah L Presswood Peyton, CO $518,108 7.630% 6.688% 0.942% $313 8.3 mo $5,026 $5,181
Ryan Reavis; Sharon Reavis Peyton, CO $470,345 7.760% 6.750% 1.010% $307 7.7 mo $4,431 $4,703
Jennifer P Coletta Virginia Beach, VA $543,462 7.570% 6.688% 0.882% $306 8.9 mo $5,085 $5,435
Rowl Cox Virginia Beach, VA $500,000 7.570% 6.688% 0.882% $298 immediate $4,980 $5,000

Current rate shown for every row is a model estimate unless tagged verified above. funding fee appears not to have been financed, so break-even is immediate.

Names are kept on this table because it is a pipeline being worked, not because any row past the Mitchell loan is a confirmed number yet. A wall of hundreds of names is not an argument, which is why the list is capped at 25 rows here; the totals above cover all 77.

4. The ask

Priced at 1.00, which is the ask, not the authority in force

Every figure on this page above the 0.50 row of the ladder is priced at a 1.00 cap. That is the ask. Current granted authority is 0.50. Nothing on this page is approved pricing until you say so.

Why the book is bigger than the last version of this page: this is not a looser filter, it is the same filter over more contactable people. A skip-trace wave took the traced book from 598 rows to 3,498, and the callable book went from 473 to 2,642. We paid to skip trace every VA first lien at 6.5% and above in the licensed footprint, and we deliberately stopped the trace once it reached rate bands where nothing prices, so the spend tracked writable inventory rather than raw volume.

At the 1.00 cap, 824 loans are writable ($319.6M) for $3,195,808 in LO comp, against $2,945,090 in shortage. The average shortage at that cap is 92.2 bps of volume against 100 bps of LO comp. It clears LO comp, but barely.

Because of that, the question this page is actually asking is not whether 1.00 clears LO comp. It does, narrowly. The question is whether it clears division margin on a government loan, and we do not know the division's margin. We are not guessing at that number and not implying we know one. The shortage is stated in bps of volume above so it can be held against a margin only you can see.

Beyond 1.00, the economics invert. At 1.25 the shortage runs 113.2 bps of volume, which exceeds 100 bps of LO comp outright.

5. Method and caveats

Internal pricing discussion, prepared by Patrick L Norman, CrossCountry Mortgage, LLC, NMLS #303097, for Daniel Jacobs. Not a rate quote, an advertisement, a commitment to lend, or a communication to any borrower or the public, and no APR is stated because none applies to an internal capacity analysis. Figures are drawn from the concession-cap model as of the pricing sheet dated 21 August 2026. Pricing moves daily, so re-run this before relying on it much past a few business days.